A seasoned fisherman on the waters off Provincetown peers over starboard and spies an unmistakable shock of electric green: mahi-mahi, visiting from the tropics.Along Old Kingâs Highway, the route the Wampanoag once wore into the earth, the blooming summer hydrangeas and bustling ice cream stands look familiar and timeless. Wells from which people draw drinking water would be inundated, brackish water pouring into kitchen sinks. He hooked around and passed back over Marthaâs Vineyard, finally alighting on the Monomoy National Wildlife Refuge on the Capeâs southeastern tip.Sunday dawned. Climate has changed dramatically throughout history. The winter moths feast on the white oaks from which the tribe once picked acorns to supplement the corn harvest. He used to fish here, then eat the fish. Some of their disappearance is due to overfishing, but because of the changing climate, native shellfish cannot replenish themselves.âOnce theyâre gone, theyâre gone,â Doane said, âno different than what weâve done to the cod or the lobster.âWarmer water, shifting seasons, dangerous algae blooms caused by storm runoff: All pose serious risks to shellfish, even here. The solution in one place exacerbates the problem in another.The projects proceed, property by property, pushing the problem downstream, each preserving a small part of the Cape by ruining it, just a little bit, until thereâs no beach left.âI donât know what Cape Cod is without beaches,â said Andrew Gottlieb, director of the Association to Preserve Cape Cod. Join us as we criss-cross Cape Cod in search of what's being lost. That destroyed houses on the bay and on Ballston Beach? The document is widely seen as a climate road...A new study by the First Street Foundation reports that flood risk maps by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) significantly underestimates the risk of flooding in most counties in the United States. But it is a massive force today.The rising seas allow more powerful waves to pass over it relatively unimpeded, overpowering what had been a delicate balance with the waves that arrive from the gulf.The result, Giese and others discovered, is that erosion rates on the Outer Cape are now nearly double what they had been for thousands of years. But those that cannot move or adapt must suffer through marine heat waves and contend with an unfamiliar ocean that is also more acidic and, because warmer water holds less gas, less oxygenated â trends whose consequences scientists are only beginning to understand.The effects within food chains and delicate ecosystems are enduring and destructive, their tentacles touching lives and livelihoods on land. Then, the sea rose slowly and steadily for thousands of years. Commercial and recreational fishermen alike say that more and more often they see tropical oddities. It might have been enough time to plan Liamâs orderly retreat.Then, on a Friday in March 2018, a norâeaster moved in.Storms batter the Cape every winter, and Ohman didnât give it much thought. As a result, erosion on the Cape has accelerated to a geologic sprint.Today, the beaches on the Outer Cape lose an average of about 3 feet of shoreline a year as increasingly powerful waves slice away sand from the dunes and bluffs.Buildings erected far from the waterâs edge a generation ago now find themselves in harmâs way. When complete, we will be able to see what would happen here if one of the major weather events of the last 400 years were to strike again, the water flowing over and through todayâs landscape, following complex and sometimes counter-intuitive pathways inland.If the storm of 1938 churned north toward the Cape today, its strong right arm pummeling Buzzards Bay, evacuations would be ordered. This is not a travelogue of the troubling future, or a preview of dire warnings that somehow go unheeded. Leave your long lines in too long, and youâll haul up the lips and skeletal remains of hooked haddock ravaged by dogfish.Dogfish fetch a fraction of the price that more prized fish would bring â paying fisherman something closer to 20 cents a pound than $2 or more for cod.
But on a windy Tuesday in June, they pulled up in Johnâs red pickup, LIAMS on the license plate.Together, they paced off the path through the dunes, zeroing in on the specific places theyâd spent so many hours working here, side by side. Each swell seemed perfectly designed to slice away the sand that stood between Liamâs and the sea.The old building withstood the storm, but its position was precarious. âEssentially there will be a lot less or even no vegetation.âFrom the air, Loagy Bay must look like a buffet to a passing whimbrel. Why would you do that?âThis shortsightedness about climate change is hardly unique to the Cape. To make any sense of the present and peer into the future, you have to look deep into the past.Since the last of the ancient glaciers that covered the northern half of North America receded and left Cape Cod protruding from the coastline, erosion has been the Capeâs geologic birthright. Several times â sometimes more than once a year â Spang has had to jack up the shed, slide rollers under it, and shove it back a few feet so it doesnât fall onto the beach far below.Surrounded by the sea, the sands that shape the Cape have always shifted.
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